All teams in the Big 12 have played 6 of their 18 conference basketball games and three teams have separated themselves in the standings. Note that there are four more teams with 3-3 records that would have a chance to win the title if they were to win out. While possible, that is highly unlikely. Let’s look at the remaining schedules for each of the three contenders and take a guess at the Jayhawks chance of winning their 13th consecutive Big 12 title.

I’ve listed each of the schedules in reverse order, so we’ll start with West Virginia who are currently in third place. Just looking at their remaining schedule, I’ll predict a win or a less to come up with a predicted final conference record.

West Virginia (4-2)

at Kansas State – LOSS
Kansas – WIN
at Iowa State – LOSS
Oklahoma State – WIN
at Oklahoma – WIN
Kansas State – WIN
at Kansas – LOSS
Texas Tech – WIN
Texas – WIN
at TCU – WIN
at Baylor – LOSS
Iowa State – WIN

Based on those predictions, West Virginia would finish 12-6.

Baylor (5-1)

at TCU – WIN
Texas Tech – WIN
at Kansas – LOSS
Kansas State – WIN
at Oklahoma State – WIN
TCU – WIN
at Texas Tech – WIN
Kansas – WIN
Oklahoma – WIN
at Iowa State – LOSS
West Virginia – WIN
at Texas – WIN

Based on these predictions, Baylor would finish 15-3.

Kansas (6-0)

Texas – WIN
at West Virginia – LOSS
Baylor – WIN
Iowa State – WIN
at Kansas State – LOSS
at Texas Tech – WIN
West Virginia – WIN
at Baylor – LOSS
TCU – WIN
at Texas – WIN
Oklahoma – WIN
at Oklahoma State – WIN

Based on these predictions, Kansas would also finish 15-3 and tie Baylor for the title.

As I went through my predictions, I didn’t throw in any real upsets. Will the Jayhawks truly lose at both West Virginia and Baylor? Will they truly have another perfect season in Allen Fieldhouse? Baylor has been known to regress in previous seasons, will that happen again? If any of that changes, so could the race.

Right now I’d guess Kansas has at least an 80% chance of at least sharing the title to give them 13 straight. The next game for Baylor is at TCU and the Horned Frogs are much improved this season. Should the Bears lose that one, the race could be over sooner rather than later.

I’ll revisit the race when all of the teams have played 12 of the 18 games and we’ll re-evaluate where they all stand.

Pin It on Pinterest

Share This